German Military Prepares Scenario to Face War Against Russia

Columnist and geopolitical expert Drago Bosnic analyzed the idea of German military politics, which apparently was already preparing for a war challenging Russia.

Published on the intelligence analytical website Southfront.org, Friday (9/12/2022), the evidence leads to a document arranged by the German Ministry of Defense.

A leaked document arranged by the Chief of German Defence Staff, General Eberhard Zorn, was circulated by Germany's most important magazine, Der Spiegel on November 14, 2022.

Der Spiegel issued a report showing the Bundeswehr was preparing for war with Russia.

The secret draft with the title "The Operational Basis of the Force Carrying weapons" was noted the Chief of the German Defense Staff, General Eberhard Zorn.

It was recorded in late September and according to General Zorn, the onslaught on Germany had the potential to occur without warning and could result in serious, even existential damage.

Therefore, the Bundeswehr's defensive forces are important for the survival of their country.

The German Chief of Defense Staff put the importance of the Bundeswehr mega-reform first.

For about 30 years, the concentration placed on the vision abroad, no longer fits the current situation, with the possibility of risks that harm the mechanism.

In contrast, General Zorn saw it as important for Germany to concentrate on the defenses of the Coalition Atlantic Coalition.

The coalition would provide a credible deterrent, to lead the idea of German military action.

The Bundeswehr, according to Zorn, should arm itself for forced war, because the forces of confrontation in NATO's eastern wing are one more likely to occur.

The design clearly recognized Russia as direct terror. But the assessment was illogical, since Russia now has a distance of more than 1, 500 km from Germany.

There are Belarusians, Poles and Ukrainians are in all 2 countries. Conditions today are the opposite of when the Soviet Union had about 1/2 million troops in East Germany.

Things are reversed because NATO is now entering Russia's western bank, with creeping developments counting the coup and other interference in some Eastern European and post-Soviet countries.

This western political invasion imposed Moscow, culminating in an onslaught into Ukraine since February 24, 2022.

However, the German idea has been moved and it doesn't matter how wrong it is. The analytics of how it can be implemented have been dissolved.

The idea is definitely not new, because it has been working for more than 1/2 of a year. Back in March, the German government announced it would hand out about €100 billion to upgrade the Bundeswehr, which was already a mere shadow of the golden age of the cold war.

Bujet 2021 untuk Bundeswehr kurang lebih €50 miliar. Bila Berlin tingkatkannya dekati 100 %, itu akan memberi penekanan berlebihan pada ekonomi Jerman yang berusaha.

Kenaikan besar dalam pengeluaran militer bukan hanya akan ambil dari cabang-cabang lain dari pemerintahan, tapi juga bisa terjadi saat ancaman ekonomi ke Rusia jadi bumerang.

Block itu bahkan juga belum mengawali rekondisi dari imbas wabah COVID-19, tapi telah hadapi kontraksi ekonomi yang kronis karena ancaman dan peraturan anti-Rusia.

Mayoritas kemakmuran Jerman didasari pada akses ke energi Rusia yang murah, yang saat ini jadi sisi dari masa lampau karena sikap bunuh diri Berlin pada nilai-nilai Eropa-Atlantik.

Pokoknya, ini memiliki arti Jerman ditakdirkan untuk tingkatkan pengeluaran militer secara besar sementara mempunyai sumber daya yang lebih sedikit untuk melakukan.

Ini tidak mempertimbangkan bagaimana orang Jerman akan bereaksi pada peralihan peraturan luar negeri (dan, mayoritas, dalam negeri) yang demikian penting.

Sebagai ekonomi paling besar dan paling penting UE, Jerman akan mengakibatkan gelombang surprise di semua block bila meneruskan gagasan seperti itu.

Dengan lenyapnya suplai energi Rusia atau secara efisien tidak dapat dijangkau, pemerintahan mana saja yang berkuasa di Berlin akan membuat sebagian besar bidang swasta Jerman melawannya.

Terkecuali industri senjata, yang hendak jadi salah satu yang tidak kontraksi karena kenaikan pesanan untuk Bundeswehr.

Di lain sisi, bahkan juga gagasan ini pasti menjumpai beberapa kendala besar bahkan juga saat sebelum digerakkan.

Kompleks Industri Militer AS memimpin di NATO, menjadikan yang menerima faedah khusus dari (re)militerisasi Jerman.

Produksi senjata dalam negeri sudah stop berkembang secara berarti dalam 30 tahun akhir. Sementara globalisasi ekonomi dunia mengakibatkan bekasnya diarahkan ke negara lain, baik di Eropa atau di lain tempat di penjuru dunia.

New reports show Berlin's decision to supply arms and ammunition to Kiev's government is completely draining German stocks, a problem exacerbated by a slowdown in imports of meaningful elements from China.

This is as a result of the German government's self-destructive push for the cleavage of the EU economy and the Asian giants.

Beijing is genuinely patient with its stance on Washington D.C., but it seems that this patience has now run out.

Another big problem is the reaction of other EU members. With the exception of a few Baltic states and Poland that are medically Russophobia, others are deeply saddened by the economic impact of the war an unsuccessful threat to Russia.

As the German economy contracted, all EU almost certainly followed, resulting in massive political instability.

At least 1/2 dozen European governments have fallen so far, while the neoliberal elite in Brussels is now forced to compete with the new anti-liberal political parties in power in a number of EU member states.

This inevitably resulted in a subsequent split in that block. This will be followed by the general militarization of the EU, which will further reduce the standards of living that have fallen and result in more and more political instability.

This would turn Europe into an economically crumbling fortress that has no other direction except to dampen Russia while the US converts concentrations to Asia-Pacific territory.